Future Babble : Why Expert Predictions Fail and Why We Believe them Anyway Richard Martin Publisher: CHRONICLE BOOKS

Publisher: CHRONICLE BOOKS

persistence

The Vienna Settlement established peace

and build coalitions

and their fates are bound together

Future Babble : Why Expert Predictions Fail and Why We Believe them Anyway Richard Martin Publisher: CHRONICLE BOOKSIn 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1967, they said the USSR would be the world's fastest growing economy by 2000, the USSR no longer existed. In 1908, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that turned out. Face it, experts are about as accurate as dart throwing monkeys. And yet every day we ask them to predict the